Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.358560 3.880690 4.459146 5.147893 5.946179 6.842992 7.927936
2024-10-20 2.637344 3.310610 4.121461 5.171415 6.497474 8.119927 10.261045
2024-10-27 2.025232 2.731041 3.644823 4.917687 6.650471 8.935234 12.190412
2024-11-03 1.744171 2.509159 3.566461 5.140189 7.434006 10.672499 15.622583
2024-11-10 1.547216 2.360389 3.553091 5.439067 8.365352 12.764321 19.938404
2024-11-17 1.351656 2.174895 3.449358 5.578942 9.077635 14.648577 24.292473
2024-11-24 1.168597 1.974084 3.284176 5.586939 9.574354 16.269309 28.516506
2024-12-01 0.984689 1.738956 3.022364 5.385346 9.679508 17.250362 31.824191
2024-12-08 0.831680 1.530229 2.769457 5.151352 9.678488 18.031301 34.894164
2024-12-15 0.749580 1.434329 2.698554 5.230873 10.256073 19.942963 40.419404
2024-12-22 0.654915 1.299480 2.534334 5.104404 10.413268 21.073222 44.595725
2024-12-29 0.623425 1.281991 2.590500 5.418927 11.498144 24.209082 53.481430
2025-01-05 0.574565 1.225206 2.566800 5.580856 12.327242 27.029652 62.405249
2025-01-12 0.520105 1.148268 2.490318 5.619162 12.900971 29.416015 70.870841
2025-01-19 0.448427 1.022574 2.290507 5.350664 12.737405 30.128957 75.555779
2025-01-26 0.423933 0.999143 2.313070 5.598506 13.831234 33.973101 88.781628
2025-02-02 0.406623 0.989620 2.365908 5.928310 15.187634 38.709318 105.339923
2025-02-09 0.379940 0.953192 2.349300 6.083437 16.132291 42.589643 120.465121
2025-02-16 0.348176 0.899018 2.280809 6.093671 16.699569 45.593053 133.813564
2025-02-23 0.308817 0.819136 2.135175 5.874235 16.602837 46.783276 142.169071
2025-03-02 0.272802 0.742426 1.985929 5.619005 16.358205 47.512406 149.296854
2025-03-09 0.255338 0.713404 1.959564 5.706307 17.125211 51.316813 166.911800
2025-03-16 0.230867 0.661053 1.861331 5.568268 17.194108 53.055165 178.256847